CBS Technology Editor Larry Magid summed up prevailing market sentiment by referring to Netflix’s 60% price increase in July as www.mercurynews.com-www.mercurynews.com" title="Larry Magid" target="_self">“clearly a boneheaded move.” The decision to spin off its DVD rental business under Qwikster, quietly announced in CEO Reed Hastings’ blog, was arguably the bigger PR snafu.
However, as angry as some subscribers were, there’s no evidence to bolster the belief that Netflix acted to exploit customers. Far from it. Netflix was acting in its long term interests, and that of its customers too. The issue lies in how Netflix made its choices.
Content Providers Not Making the Same Mistake Twice
This week, SJMN columnist Chris O’Brien wrote about the core problem facing Netflix: video producers have learned the hard lessons of the music industry and, aided by federal law, are not about to let royalty dollars slip through their fingers. O’Brien points out two key factors that are shaping the streaming video business:
- There’s no massive black market sharing video freely as Napster did with music.
- Regulations that permit sellers to rent out DVDs do not apply to distribution of streaming video.
Consequently, the studios don’t “need” Netflix (or Amazon, Comcast, Apple, etc.); they have other routes to market. The studios can set their own price, having distribution power protected by regulation. And they do - so much so that streaming content purchases for Netflix could increase as much as 10X in two years.
The Bigger Picture
In Distinguishing Strategies and Tactics, the 5 C Framework was briefly described. In brief, the framework depicts the factors that impinge upon a company’s ability to choose and successfully sell to its customers. It is shown in the graphic below.
As the visual illustrates, the line connecting a company to its customers is not a straight one. Collaborators (who supply to and work with the company) and competitors have a stake in winning customer dollars. All of these operate within an environment (Context) in which uncontrollable factors - technological innovation, the economy, cultural norms, regulations and geography - affect the marketing landscape.
The simplicity and pleasing visual symmetry of the framework belies the complexity of what it models in the marketplace. Applying the framework to Netflix yields a very different decision set than when it is applied to the company’s major competitors.
To illustrate the point, make these substitutions for the labels in the graphic:
- Company = Netflix
- Collaborators = Production Studios
- Competitors = Cable companies, Apple, Amazon, and so on
- Context = streaming technology + regulations governing content distribution
In fact, to be thorough, the Production Studios are also competitors (they can distribute directly as well as choose other distribution partners). Likewise, in the case of cable companies, they are collaborators of Netflix as they own the “last mile” of cable that enables streaming content to reach customers’ flat panels. As far as distribution systems go, this is difficult to navigate.
Harder to Get Right Than it is to Get Wrong
Netflix is nothing without the production studios; it simply would not otherwise be in business. Adding to the challenges facing Netflix is the fact that none of its major streaming competitors has a physical DVD rental business, which is an entirely different animal.
The market is shifting to streaming video. DVD rentals have reached maturity and are beginning to decline - in both volume and margin. Netflix has a foot in both ponds.
So, in many respects, it chose to pass along future costs of its DVD rental business rather than subsidize it, enabling it to steer its margin toward expanding the much more costly acquisition of streaming content. Its bet: that its customers could see the shift underway and would, with some reluctance, see their own best interests served by paying more today to ensure availability of a wide range of premium video content tomorrow.
It was a bet that has not paid off as hoped.
Takeaway
Frameworks like the 5C are not recipes for making better - or even good - decisions. They do, as the name suggests, help “frame” the factors that shape situations in which decisions must be made.